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The US government is discussing further restrictions on Nvidia's chip sales to China, potentially targeting the company's H20 chips - products specifically designed for the Chinese market to comply with existing US trade rules.

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According to Bloomberg, these talks are just beginning as the Trump administration works to staff key departments. During his confirmation hearing, incoming Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said he would take a firm stance on semiconductor oversight.

The Biden administration's final actions included tighter export controls for AI hardware and models, creating a three-tier licensing system. While 18 close allies like Japan, the UK, Germany and the Netherlands maintain full access, about 120 countries including Israel, Saudi Arabia and the UAE face strict quantity limits. China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea cannot import these chips at all.

For Nvidia, which has faced increasing sales limits in China since 2022, expanded restrictions would further reduce its presence in the world's largest semiconductor market. The company warned against the latest export rules, saying they would push China toward self-sufficiency while putting US firms at a disadvantage. Huawei is one potential company to fill the void. Nvidia's stock dropped 6.9% when news broke about potential H20 GPU restrictions.

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Anthropic CEO defends strict export controls

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei recently supported these strict export controls, citing concerns about China matching US AI capabilities and gaining military advantages. Responding to Deepseek's R1 model release, Amodei said their progress actually reinforces the need for such controls.

He points out that Deepseek has made AI development more cost-effective, achieved performance close to US models, and already commands significant computing resources. Rather than seeing improved efficiency as a reason to ease restrictions, Amodei believes any freed-up computing power will likely go toward scaling up AI systems.

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Summary
  • The Trump administration is considering tightening restrictions on the sale of Nvidia chips to China, especially for the H20 model developed specifically for the Chinese market. The talks are still at an early stage.
  • Before leaving office, the Biden administration had presented stricter export rules for AI accelerators and AI models, introducing a three-tier licensing system. A complete export ban applies to China. Nvidia fears a negative impact on its revenue in China.
  • Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei defends the export controls on chips to China to prevent the country from acquiring the same AI capabilities as the US and becoming militarily dominant. He sees the need for such controls confirmed by Deepseek's recent progress.
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Max is managing editor at THE DECODER. As a trained philosopher, he deals with consciousness, AI, and the question of whether machines can really think or just pretend to.
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