Microsoft is either careless or just promised an extremely capable OpenAI model for 2024

Did Microsoft choose this slide wisely? Kevin Scott, Microsoft's CTO, just showed a graph at Microsoft's Build developer conference that was probably meant to illustrate the potential (?) exponential growth of AI. Taken at face value, the graph implies that an OpenAI AI model many times more capable than GPT-4 will be released this year. If the graph was created without thinking about future AI models, it begs the question of why Microsoft a) doesn't know better and b) wants to fuel AI hype only to disappoint people later. Soon after, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman took the stage and repeated what he's been saying for months: that AI models will get "smarter" with more training. Altman did not provide any specific information about GPT-5.